How
is IDFC Calculating “Tax Adjusted Yield on Buyback” of 17.85%?
This
part is easy to understand. The method used by IDFC to reach the misleading
figure of 17.85% is as under.
1.
Assume you are investing Rs 20,000 – Principle Amount P = 20,000
2.
Since infrastructure bonds investments are exempt from tax the investor will
save 30.9% of Rs 20,000. This amount is equal to Rs 6180.
3.
IDFC is now incorrectly saying that since the investor invested Rs 20,000 and
saved Rs 6180 this is the same as investing Rs 20,000- Rs 6,180 or Rs 13, 820.
So principle amount P is not Rs 20,000 as in step 1 but Rs 13,820. This assumption is not only illogical but also misleading and
we strongly feel SEBI should look into this matter.
4. Investor will receive Rs 1600 as interest at the end of every
year. The duration of investment is assumed to be 5 years. Total number of
interest payments will be 5 of Rs 1,600 each at the end of every year. Now IDFC
is assuming that each interest can be invested at the rate of 8% per annum compound
interest for the remainder time period. This statement is elaborated below
- First interest of Rs 1,600
invested @ 8% compound interest for 4 years will give Rs 2,177
- Second interest of Rs 1,600
invested @ 8% compound interest for 3 years will give Rs 2016
- Third interest of Rs 1,600
invested @ 8% compound interest for 2 years will give Rs 1,866
- Fourth interest of Rs 1,600
invested @ 8% compound interest for 1 year will give Rs 1,728
- Fifth interest of Rs 1,600
comes at the end of 5 years at the time when the investor redeems the bond
so no interest on this amount
Interest
and interest on interest (at rate of 8% per annum) will give the investor Rs
9,387 at the end of 5 years. But there is a major flow
with this assumption. No one can predict interest rates 5 years in future like
IDFC has done. What if interest rate comes down or goes up?
5. At the end of 5 years the investor gets Rs 20,000 he/she
invested. Add to this the wild assumption of interest on interest. Total amount
received by the investor at the end of 5 years is Rs 29,387 – as per
“fairy tale” assumptions of IDFC.
6. Now IDFC has assumed that the interest amount and interest on
interest will not be added to your taxed at 30.9% (Remember we are doing this
calculation for investor who is in 30% tax slab). Why? because IDFC assumes that after investing the
investor lost his/ her job or business and is below all tax slabs.
7. Now as IDFC has assumed that investor invested Rs 20,000 and
got tax exemption of Rs 6,180 on this amount he/ she actually invested Rs 13,
820 only. (See points 2 & 3).
8. Keeping these points 5, 6, and 7 in mind and logic out of mind
answer the question -“What is the Internal Rate
of Return of this type of cash flow”? To find IRR solve the following equation for x. Where x is the
“Tax Adjusted Yield on Buyback”.
-13820 + 1600/(1+x/100)power4 + 1600/(1+x/100)power3 +
1600/(1+x/100)power3 + 1600/(1+x/100)power2 + 1600/(1+x/100)power1 +
1600/(1+x/100) = 0
The answer is
17.85%. IDFC Infrastructure Bond – Jai Ho!
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